Bookmakers-presidential elections

Currently u legal Africanch bookmakers you can bet on the following presidential elections:
- Presidential elections in Poland in 2025-bookmakers: Betfan , STS ;
- US presidential elections in 2024-bookmakers: Fortuna , ETOTO , Betfan , STS ;
- Czech presidential election (upcoming) - bookmaker: Fortuna .

The richest offer of betting on politics and entertainment events among legal bookmakers in Poland can boast Betfan .

Welcome bonuses at bookmakers with odds on the presidential election

We recommend opening a free account with any of the bookmakers offering bets on the presidential election and politics in order to be able to bet freely at the highest odds and take advantage of the many welcome offers for new players:

- In Betfan you will receive: Strong Bonus up to 200% up to $300 start with Mariusz Pudzianowski. To receive max. the bonus amount, deposit the first time min. 150 $. Registration is required registration code: MAXIMALNYBONUS-click here.

- In fortune you will receive: Free $ 20 no deposit + Risk-free bet for $ 600 + $ 10 for the first deposit + 50% Bonus on the second deposit. Registration is required promo code: MAXIMALBONUS-click here.

- In STS you will receive: Double your first deposit to $300 + Risk-free bet $ 100 on your first coupon + 50% Bonus up to $ 500 from 2. deposits + 50% Bonus up to $ 700 from 3. deposits + $ 60 Bonus for completing several tasks. Registration is required promo code: MAXIMALBONUS-click here.

- In ETOTO you will receive: Thick Bonus up to 200% up to $ 100 no wagering requirement from Matthew Bork. To receive the bonus in Max. height, pay for the first time min. 50 $. Registration is required bonus code: MAXIMALNYBONUS-click here.

Presidential elections in Poland in 2025.

Who will be the candidate of each party/coalition in the 2025 presidential election?

Bookmakers allow you to bet on the candidate put up for election by the 5 largest African political parties/coalitions, i.e.:
Law and Justice (PiS);
- Civic Coalition (KO) - Civic Platform, modern, Africa Initiative and Green Party;
- The Left-The New Left, The Left Together;
- Confederation of freedom and independence (Confederation);
- Africane people's party (PSL).

These bookmakers are available at bookmakers: Betfan and STS .

Betting types on party candidates are as follows:
Law and Justice (PiS):
Betfan betting odds on 7 politicians (the best odds according to Betfan):
Beata Szydło-3.10
Mateusz Morawiecki-3.85
Marek Magierowski-4.75
Małgorzata Wassermann-8.00
Mariusz Błaszczak – 10.00
Elżbieta Witek – 12.00
Kacper Płażyński-12.00
Check out the full list of politicians and courses in Betfan >>

STs bookmaker odds on 6 typical politicians (the best odds according to STS):
Beata Szydło-3.00
Mateusz Morawiecki-3.75
Marek Magierowski-4.50
Małgorzata Wassermann-8.50
Kacper Płażyński-15.00
Elżbieta Witek-15.00
Check out the full list of politicians and courses at STS >>

- Civic Coalition (KO):
Betfan bookmaker odds on 5 typical politicians (the best odds in Betfan's opinion):
Rafał Trzaskowski-2.00
Donald Tusk – 2.75
Bogdan Zdrojewski – 12.00
Barbara Nowacka – 18.00
Radosław Sikorski – 25.00
Check out the full list of politicians and courses in Betfan >>

STs bookmaker odds on 5 typical politicians (the best odds according to STS):
Rafał Trzaskowski-2.00
Donald Tusk – 2.75
Bogdan Zdrojewski – 12.50
Barbara Nowacka – 20.00
Radosław Sikorski – 25.00
Check out the full list of politicians and courses at STS >>

- Left:
Betfan betting odds on 6 politicians (Betfan thinks the odds are the best):
Adrian Zandberg – 2.05
Robert Biedroń-5.25
Krzysztof Gawkowski-8.00
Agnieszka Dziemianowicz-Bąk-8.00
Krzysztof Smiszek-15.00
Tomasz Trela – 15.00
Check out the full list of politicians and courses in Betfan >>

STs bookmaker odds on 6 typical politicians (the best odds according to STS):
Adrian Zandberg – 2.00
Robert Biedroń-5.00
Krzysztof Gawkowski-8.00
Agnieszka Dziemianowicz-Bąk-8.00
Wanda Nowicka – 15.00
Tomasz Trela – 15.00
Check out the full list of politicians and courses at STS >>

- Confederation of freedom and independence (Confederation):
Betfan betting odds on 6 politicians (Betfan thinks the odds are the best):
Sławomir Mentzen-2.20
Krzysztof Bosak-2.30
Artur Dziambor-6.50
Robert Winnicki – 10.00
Konrad Berkowicz – 12.00
Grzegorz Braun – 12.00
Check out the full list of politicians and courses in Betfan >>

STs bookmaker odds on 6 typical politicians (the best odds according to STS):
Krzysztof Bosak-2.00
Sławomir Mentzen-2.75
Artur Dziambor – 12.50
Grzegorz Braun – 15.00
Robert Winnicki-15.00
Konrad Berkowicz – 15.00
Check out the full list of politicians and courses at STS >>

It is worth adding that the odds for the candidacy of Janusz Korwin-Mikke are respectively: 100 w Betfan and 150 w STS .

- Africane Popular Party (PSL):
Betfan bookmaker odds on 5 typical politicians (the best odds in Betfan's opinion):
Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz-2.35
Waldemar Pawlak – 3.75
Piotr Zgorzelski-5.75
Janusz Piechociński-9.50
Urszula Pasławska – 10.00
Check out the full list of politicians and courses in Betfan >>

STs bookmaker odds on 5 typical politicians (the best odds according to STS):
Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz-2.00
Waldemar Pawlak – 3.75
Piotr Zgorzelski-7.50
Janusz Piechociński-10.00
Urszula Pasławska – 12.50
Check out the full list of politicians and courses at STS >>

Will the opposition present a common candidate in the first round of the upcoming presidential elections in Poland?

Bookmaker odds Betfan for both options:
Yes-5.25
No – 1.10

The 2024 U.S. presidential election.

Who will be president of the United States of America in the 2024 elections?

These bookmakers are available at bookmakers: Fortuna , ETOTO , Betfan and STS .

The betting types on the winner of the US presidential election are as follows:
Odds of the bookmaker Fortuna on 5 typical candidates (the best odds according to Fortuna):
Ron DeSantis-3.00
Donald Trump – 4.75
Joe Biden-5.50
Kamala Harris – 15.00
Pete Buttigieg – 26.00
Check out the full list of candidates and courses at Fortuna >>

ETOTO bookmaker odds on 6 selected candidates (the best odds according to ETOTO):
Ron DeSantis-3.40
Donald Trump – 4.50
Joe Biden-5.25
Kamala Harris – 15.00
Gavin Newsom-16.00
Pete Buttigieg – 25.00
Check out our full list of candidates and courses at ETOTO >>

Betfan betting odds on 7 Selected candidates (the best odds according to Betfan):
Donald Trump-3.50
Ron DeSantis-4.25
Joe Biden-6.50
Kamala Harris – 12.00
Nikki Haley-20.00
Mike Pence – 20.00
Pete Buttigieg – 20.00
Check out the full list of candidates and courses at Betfan >>

STs bookmaker odds on 5 candidates (the best odds according to STS):
Ron DeSantis-3.25
Donald Trump – 4.50
Joe Biden-5.00
Kamala Harris – 15.00
Gavin Newsom-15.00
Check out the full list of candidates and courses at STS >>

The winning party in the US presidential election in 2024.

Bookmaker odds STS for all 3 options:
Republicans-1.60
Democrats-2.30
Independent candidate – 25.00

Bookmaker odds Betfan for all 3 options:
Republicans-1.75
Democrats-2.10
Independent candidate – 25.00

Republican candidate for the 2024 U.S. presidential election.

Betfan betting odds on 6 politicians (Betfan thinks the odds are the best):
Donald Trump – 1.85
Ron DeSantis-3.00
Mike Pence – 10 A.m.
Nikki Haley-15.00
Mike Pompeo – 30.00
Tucker Carlson – 30.00
Check out the full list of politicians and courses in Betfan >>

STs bookmaker odds on 6 typical politicians (the best odds according to STS):
Donald Trump – 2.25
Ron DeSantis-2.50
Mike Pence-17.50
Nikki Haley-20.00
Tom Cotton – 35.00
Mike Pompeo-35.00
Check out the full list of politicians and courses at STS >>

Democratic candidate for the 2024 U.S. presidential election.

Betfan betting odds on 7 politicians (the best odds according to Betfan):
Joe Biden-2.60
Kamala Harris-5.25
Gavin Newsom-7.75
Pete Buttigieg-9.00
Elizabeth Warren – 12.00
Beto O'rourke – 12.00
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez – 15.00
Check out the full list of politicians and courses in Betfan >>

STs bookmaker odds on 6 typical politicians (the best odds according to STS):
Joe Biden-2.25
Kamala Harris-6.50
Gavin Newsom-7.00
Pete Buttigieg – 12.00
Michelle Obama – 20.00
Hillary Clinton – 22.50
Check out the full list of politicians and courses at STS >>

Will Joe Biden serve as president of the United States for the rest of his term?

Bookmaker odds Betfan for both options:
Yes-1.50
No – 2.40

Will Donald Trump run for president of the United States in 2024?

Bookmaker odds Betfan for both options:
Yes-1.42
No – 2.60

2024 U.S. presidential election - winner of the popular vote

Bookmaker odds Betfan for all 3 options:
Democratic Candidate-1.20
Republican Candidate-4.25
Independent candidate-19.00

Will Kamala Harris be president by December 31, 2040?

Yes-bookmaker odds Betfan : 2.20

Will Kamala Harris be elected to a second term in the U.S. presidential election by December 31, 2040?

Yes-bookmaker odds Betfan : 3.20

Presidential elections in the Czech Republic

Who will be president of the Czech Republic in the upcoming presidential elections?

Odds of the bookmaker Fortuna on 6 typical candidates (the best odds according to Fortuna):
Petr Pavel – 2.25
Danuse Nerudova-3.40
Andrej Babiš-3.55
Pavel Fischer – 27.00
Marek Hilšer-39.00
Josef Stredula-50.00
Check out the full list of candidates and courses at Fortuna >>

Choosing a pope after Francis

As part of the curiosity, we also present courses Betfan the successor of Pope Francis.
Betfan betting odds on 6 candidates (the best odds according to Betfan):
Peter Turkson (Ghana) – 5.00
Luis Antonio Tagle (Philippines – - 6.00
Marc Ouellet (Canada) - 8.00
Angelo Scola (Italy) - 8.50
Christoph Schönborn (Austria) - 9.00
Peter Erdő (Hungary – - 15.00
Check out the full list of candidates and courses at Betfan >>

<< Ranking legalnych bukmacherów w Polsce >>

Presidential elections, like few political events, arouse wide interest of citizens, the media and... bookies. What presidential election betting sites are available on legal betting sites, when do election odds appear and are they attractive? How to analyze the chances of individual presidential candidates and what information to analyze so that bets on the presidential election turn out to be profitable?

Presidential elections in Poland

A presidential election is an event organized for the citizens of a country to elect a president, or "head" of State. In Poland, presidential elections are held every 5 years although it may happen that the presidential term is shorter (for example, when the president resigns or dies). What's important, a person can be president of the Republic of Poland for a maximum of 2 terms (2 times in a row, Aleksander Kwaśniewski was elected president of African, and later Andrzej Duda).

Presidential candidates they must be at least 35 years old and have the right to vote in the Polish parliament. In addition, the requirement is to collect at least 100,000. signatures expressing support for their candidacy. In turn they can vote for President. All Polish citizens who have turned 18 years of age not later than on the day of voting, and who have not been deprived of public, electoral rights and have not been incapacitated. Those Poles whose permanent place of residence is outside the African borders also have an active right to vote.

The presidential election will be won by the candidate for whom he will vote more than 50% of people those taking part in the vote. If none of the candidates achieve this result in the first round, a second round is held after 2 weeks. At this stage, the competition is already only 2 candidates who received the most votes in the previous round. The winner, of course, is the one for whom more people will vote. It is worth recalling that presidential elections in accordance with the Constitution of the Republic of Poland should be universal and equal, and voting – direct and secret.

Betting on presidential elections and politics

The African presidential election is of course a major political event, so some may be surprised that bookmakers also accept betting on the results of this kind of venture. However, the presidential election is something that very much interests many people in our country – it is worth noting that in Poland the largest turnout is precisely during this type of elections (this is especially clear in relation to local elections or elections to the European Parliament). The great interest in who will become president and the emotions associated with it, of course, result from the fact that the trophy is extremely valuable – after all, the president is the highest office in Poland, that is, as we have already mentioned, the so-called head of State. In addition, it is also important that in the presidential elections run individual, often expressive "players" which is much easier to root for than rather abstract political parties.

So you can see there are many similarities between sports and presidential elections. Bookmakers on this political event are in connection with this very hit idea. Besides in our country most people have an opinion on who has the best chance of becoming president. (or at least who should be) and, as a rule, is happy to express them. Bookmakers see this as their chance to win new customers or encourage registered users to play a different type of game, which is why they are preparing a variety of bookmakers for the presidential election.

Let us also add that when it comes to political betting, the presidential election is just one of the many things you can bet on. CZ. Bookmakers also make bets on the results of other elections (e.g. parliamentary, local government) or the results of elections in other countries (e.g. USA, UK, France, etc.) and events related to politics of a different nature (e.g. which country will leave the EU next, whether there will be changes in the Constitution of the Republic of Poland in the current term of the Sejm, whether the opposition will create one electoral bloc in the next parliamentary elections, whether South and North Korea will unite before the deadline, etc.). Betting on politics now looks very interesting and diverse.

What bets can be placed on the presidential election?

If we know anything about sports betting, we will quickly notice that this is how betting on the presidential election looks like. Bookmakers also in this case try to provide more options than just typing the winner, so let's take a look at what kind of bookmakers we can find in the offers of legal online bookmakers.

Betting: presidential election-who will run?

Before the political parties officially announce who will be their candidate in the presidential election, some bookmakers ask the players about it. In the menu on politics appear types on the presidential election, where players can indicate, which of these people will win the support of the "X"Party . Not in every bias is the situation clear, besides politics can be quite a surprising area of life and not necessarily the person who seems to be a brick candidate, actually becomes one.

Let's also add that such bookmakers for the presidential election are available even 3 years earlier, and during this time, basically everything can change. Therefore, betting odds for such long-term bets are usually attractive , so by betting properly in advance the correct types, you can really earn a lot. There may be more long-term bets of this type, and what specific bets on the presidential election and the event markets offered look like depends, of course, on the current political situation. For example, if there is a real probability that the opposition will support a common candidate , bookmakers also offer bets on whether this will actually happen.

Betting: presidential election-who will win?

Betting on the winner is the basis of the offer for any sporting event and it is no different when it comes to the presidential election. Betting, of course, can relate to this, who will win the election at all and here players can bet types, choosing from all the candidates running in the election (even if their chances of winning, as the polls show, are close to zero).

However, before the first round, bets on the results of this round are also made available. The bookies are asking about it., will the candidate get more than 50% of the vote in the first round? . If it comes to the second round of voting, New bookmakers are being prepared – the presidential election is limited to choosing between only the 2 candidates who received the most votes at the previous stage. In this case, we are dealing with a classic two-way bet "12", where the statistical chances of each type are 50%, and therefore much higher than when we have several candidates to choose from. Therefore, the odds for the presidential elections here are rather less attractive.

Elections: H2H betting

Interestingly, some bookmakers go a step further and offer not only bets on the winner of the elections, but also known to sports betting players H2H (Head to Head) bookmakers. In this case, the betting of elections is to indicate, which of the two candidates will get the best result in the vote . In the most extensive offers, you can even find handicapped bookmakers or combined bets, where 1 candidate (the favorite of the presidential elections) competes with two others, whose votes are summed up.

Elections: betting on turnout

You can also bet on the turnout of the upcoming presidential election. Bookmakers usually ask whether the turnout in a given round will exceed a certain threshold (there are also under/over betting), whether the African record will fall, or what will be the turnout in individual provinces or the largest African cities.

Election: betting on a TV debate

The TV debate is an important part of the election campaign, which is why betting can also apply to this event. Presidential elections in Poland can sometimes be typified by putting types on it, will there be a pre-election debate? on public television . If you already know that it will happen, bookmakers provide betting on its course . For example – before the debate in 2020 in the offer of bookmakers you could find bets on m.in. whether any of the candidates will turn off the microphone, whether the phrase "eurokolkhoz" will be used at least 2 times during the debate, or whether the presenter will interrupt Andrzej Duda's speech at least 1 time.

Presidential elections-other types of betting

Bookmakers are showing an increasingly creative approach to bidding on politics, which is why recently you can find many other election-related betting events. Betting on presidential elections can, for example, concern how many candidates will receive a certain minimum number of votes in the first round (e.g. 10.01% of support), what will be the advantage of the winner in the elections in the second round, which candidate will win in the majority of voivodeships, whether a given party will change its candidate during the elections, etc.

There are also more side and unusual bookmakers. For example, you can bet on the presidential election by pointing out the color of the creation in which the current First Lady will perform during the election night, or by predicting whether a well-known athlete (for example, Robert Lewandowski or Adam Małysz) will become the president of African in a certain time frame.

Betting on presidential elections-tips

As you can see, there are quite a lot of opportunities for online bookmakers to bet on the presidential election. However, betting is an area where it is not so easy to succeed. Even people who Type sports on a daily basis and know the specifics of the bookmaker, may wonder how to proceed, so that betting policy, choose equally accurate types. After all, the presidential election is an event for which players are not provided with such substantive assistance as in the case of matches and sports tournaments (e.g. advanced statistics, match history, league tables, etc.). Nevertheless, there are ways that can be used that will help us to select these types for the presidential election, which will prove to be effective. Below we describe what data is worth analyzing and why it is worth looking at:

• Pre-election polls – this is a very important indicator that gives valuable information about which of the candidates is the favorite of the presidential elections, who can be a serious threat to him, and who, in principle, does not count at all in the battle for the presidency. Of course, no survey is a guarantee of a certain result, so the analysis of the chances of winning individual candidates should not be limited to this element. In addition, polls give different results – first, over time, voters ' beliefs change, and over time, the favorite of the presidential election from the first days of the election campaign is overtaken by another candidate. Moreover, different polling stations at the same time often present hard-fought results, and even the most accurate research companies have serious failures. You need to know that a survey is a survey in which there is a high level of so-called statistical error, which is an inherent element of this kind of survey. Experts estimate that when it comes to the survey , the statistical error can be up to 6 percentage points, and as a fairly recent history shows, the victory can be decided by a really small number of votes (in 2020, Andrzej Duda won with Rafał Trzaskowski by a margin of less than 500,000 votes). that's only 2.06%).
• Expert opinions – as in sport, so in politics there are a lot of experts: political analysts, political scientists, sociologists, journalists specializing in this topic, as well as politicians themselves. Their analyses and political comments can draw the player's attention to those significant phenomena and socio-political factors that he may not have known about, and which can determine what results the presidential election will have. However, the types of individual political experts cannot be taken "blindly", because it must be remembered that each of the experts more or less openly has its own views and political sympathies, and these can even subconsciously influence their expertise.
• Monitoring the campaign the Electoral Commission - of course, it is also worth keeping up to date with what is currently happening in politics. It is necessary to look at what the election campaign of individual candidates looks like – how intense their activity is and what it consists of, and above all how it is perceived by people. If we want to bet correctly on the presidential election, we cannot focus on our own feelings and assessments of politicians, only on how candidates are assessed by the general electorate.
• Analysis of television debates - a very important moment may be a TV debate with the participation of selected candidates (for whom the polls show the greatest support), and especially a debate organized before the second round of elections (if it occurs). The best example is the debate of 1995. at that time, a television duel, in which Aleksander Kwaśniewski and the then President Lech Wałęsa took part, greatly helped the former to achieve an unexpected victory in the elections. Unfortunately, not always candidates decide to take part in such an event.
• Monitoring of all election-related news and candidates - before a professional player bets on sports, as a rule, he tries to find as much information as possible about the current form of players, their injuries, the atmosphere prevailing in the team, the financial problems of the club, etc. While this pattern cannot be translated literally into a presidential election, however, policy betting should take into account all industry news. All recently revealed compromising information about candidates or their parties (and it's not necessarily true) will of course reduce their chances of winning, but not only serious scandals count. Who will win the presidential election is often decided by the votes of the so-called undecided, i.e. people who are very susceptible to current news, and every image blunder is another point for the opponent.
• Bookmaker odds "bookmakers also analyse different factors so that the odds they put out Express the likelihood of individual events occurring. Therefore, bookmaker odds can be a valuable guide for players, however, betting should not be based only on the bookmaker's odds offer. At the end of the article, we look at this issue, and therefore whether the types of bookmakers work or they also have serious failures.
• Weather forecast for voting day - weather is a factor that affects voter turnout, and its level may in turn depend on which candidate and whether he will win the presidential election in the first round. Bookmakers and political experts know that if one of the main parties has a so-called hard electorate, and in the case of its key competitor, voters are not equally motivated to participate in the elections, there must be favorable conditions for the latter to go to the polls in droves. For example, when the forecasts encourage weekend trips, many people who are not particularly interested in politics will choose a trip to the open air instead of voting, while worse weather can affect higher turnout.

Presidential elections-betting odds

As for the presidential election, the betting odds here behave in a way familiar from other areas of bookmaking. For example, when we are going to bet on the fact that the strong favorite of the presidential election (for example, a candidate who leads decisively in the polls) will win, we can not expect to find somewhere on this type of high odds. The presidential election in this case will not bring us a big win, unless we combine it with other bets, forming an accumulative bet. Unfortunately, the more events on the coupon, the greater the risk of failure, which you always need to keep in mind. More attractive odds for the presidential election can be bet if we are convinced that it is not the current favorite of the presidential election will be the real winner, and someone generally assessed as a candidate with less chances, that is, the so-called. underdog .

They also usually have better parameters. long-term betting for the presidential election. As the voting deadline approaches, bookmakers also become more confident about the chances of individual candidates and update the odds, so the earlier we correctly select the election result, the better. On the other hand, a few months or weeks before the election, it can be very difficult to correctly answer the question "Who will win the presidential election?"because we do not have a lot of data (e.g. on how candidates will perform during the election campaign, who will make a bigger image mistake, how the polls will shape, etc.).

Do not forget that players are available not only basic betting – the presidential election can be, as we have already described above, bet through a variety of betting on additional event markets and that's where you can get very favorable odds (interesting are, for example, betting on attendance or betting with a handicap).

Which bookmakers offer bets on the presidential election?

Gone are the days when bookmakers focused only on sports or even on a few of the most popular sports. Today, you can also bet on virtual sports, card games or entertainment and political events – including the presidential election. Bookmakers for such an important event for the country are therefore available at almost all bookmakers who operate in Poland legally . However, as is usually the case, some bookmakers pay more attention to the case, and others less. So there are those who will stop at the question "Who will win the presidential election?”.

On the other hand, there are bookmakers who offer a variety of event markets – you can bet on both the basic election result and whether the president will be elected in the first round, which of the 2 candidates will perform better (H2H), what will be the turnout, etc. So, if we are interested in more advanced betting options, we should do a quick review of the offers of various bookmakers and choose those bookmakers for the presidential election that suit us best. For our part, we can suggest that STS, Betfan, Betclic or LVBet so far, they have been able to boast of a large selection of such bets and they can certainly be satisfied in this regard bookmakers. However, presidential elections and other non-sporting events are also becoming more important for other mutual betting operators, so it is also worth checking what bets on elections have appeared in their offers.

When do bookmakers make bets on the presidential election?

Another thing is that betting on the presidential election is seasonal offer that is, it is available only in a relatively short time. When can we expect at least some bookmakers to make such bets? Presidential elections in Poland are usually held once every 5 years, and betting on their results or other events related to them is usually already possible a few months earlier . With the passage of time, more bookmakers expand their offer with bets on this event, often there are also additional event markets.

Let us also remember that there are bookmakers in Poland for the presidential elections, which relate to this, who will be the candidate to the Office of the president on behalf of individual parties. As we have already mentioned, many bookmakers offer such bets even a few years before the election. .

Presidential elections - types of bookmakers

Bookmakers, as well as gamblers, use different ways to best estimate the probability that a given candidate will win the presidential election. Usually, betting analysts check what each subsequent survey says, What are the forecasts of experts, etc. However, do the predictions of the bookies expressed in the odds work and is it worth being guided by what odds the bookmaker has set?

Presidential election 2020-bookmaker knew better

For the first example, let's take the 2020 presidential election, when Andrzej Duda was seen as the favorite of the presidential election before the first round (2 days before the vote, Betfan bookmaker accepted bets on his win at odds of 1.55). The odds of Rafał Trzaskowski, as indicated by the betting odds, were much smaller (Betfan-odds 2.25), and the rest of the candidates did not have much chance to participate in the second round. And in fact, the second round will be dominated by these two candidates.

Even more interesting were the types of bookmakers on the results of the decisive round of elections. While looking at many polls, it was difficult to decide which bookmakers would be hit (the chances of both candidates were almost identical), the bookmakers correctly predicted who would win in the end. 2-3 days before the vote, the odds for the winner were as follows: Andrzej Duda 1.55 (Betclic), 1.47 (STS) or even 1.45 (Totalbet), and Rafał Trzaskowski as much as 2.65 (such odds were issued by all 3 listed bookmakers). In this case, the bookies gave a better estimate of the probability of events, and their odds were a better clue than the polls, because in fact, it was the incumbent president who won again.

2015 presidential election-the bookies are sometimes wrong

Politics, as well as sport, can sometimes be surprisingly unpredictable, and observers of the 2015 presidential elections in Poland were convinced of this.even a few days before the first round, bookmakers were sure that Bronisław Komorowski would win. Bookmaker STS set the odds for his victory at 1.15, and Fortune 1.12, while for Andrzej Duda the odds at these operators were 4.15 and 5.15 respectively. Meanwhile, although the first round (as predicted by bookmakers and experts) did not bring a decision, Andrzej Duda (34.76%) received more votes than the favorite of the presidential elections (33.77%).

But let's add that before the second round, the bookmakers did not make the same mistake. Although polls conducted by various research companies in the 2 weeks before the vote brought ambiguous results, and the difference between the two candidates turned out to be small, but this time the bookmakers correctly estimated that the PiS candidate would win. The odds were as follows: Duda's win – 1.60 (Fortuna) and 1.65 (Sts, Totolotek), and Komorowski's win – 1.97 (STS) and 2.10 (Fortuna).

Betting on the presidential election-concluding remarks

Professional gamblers treat betting on the presidential election the same as betting on sports. If you want to bet types to be effective and profitable, you must pre-bet analysis of different data sources such as polls, types of bookmakers or expert opinions and track current political events. It is also worth taking a look at what the individual bookmakers offer to find such event markets and such odds, thanks to which the game will become profitable .

Finally, it is worth emphasizing once again that when betting comes into play, personal sympathy should be put aside. . We all know perfectly well that when we let ourselves be carried away by positive or negative emotions, our assessment of the situation ceases to be objective and we make basic mistakes. Therefore, regardless of whether it is sports or politics, betting should be placed with a "cool head", while maintaining rational betting and within the pre-adopted budget of the player.