Sports analysis in the bookmaker

Betting is an area where nothing can be predicted 100%, but good sports analysis can greatly improve the effectiveness of typing. What information and where to look for and which statistics should be analyzed? How else to get an advantage over the bookmaker by typing bookmaker bets?

Sports analysis – what information to look for?

Sports knowledge is the basis of an effective game. In order to correctly bet on sports betting, you need not only to know the rules and characteristics of the chosen sport, but also to have up-to-date information related to the match that we are going to type. What data will be useful depends largely on the sport – we take for example football matches, which Poles most often bet on.

Pre-match sports analysis must, of course, refer to the strictly sporting elements that apply to both teams and the match in general. Of course, issues such as: teams (absences due to injuries, etc.), form of players and teams (the decline may be affected by m.in. intense season, long journey to the place where the match will take place, no time for acclimatization), degree of team motivation (sometimes it can be completely different for both teams.), personnel changes and transfers (for example, a recent change of coach or the appearance of a new important player), atmosphere in the team (for example, personal conflicts can impair the quality of the game), specificity of the match (for example, in matches without an audience, the advantage of the hosts is much smaller than standard), etc. In addition to this type of data, sometimes sports news is also important. not directly related to the match itself however, they may indicate a weakening or strengthening of the team. An example is the financial problems of the club, as the feeling of insecurity and destabilization created in the players can affect the quality of their game and the course of the meeting.

Below we describe where to look for this type of information and what to look for, so that sports analysis is valuable and actually helps to find the answer to the question of which bookmakers are worth betting on. Of course, it must be remembered that not every information, for example, about the change of composition will be significant, that is, not every information should be considered important for the outcome of the meeting. Moreover, not everyone will be reliable. The player must not only be able to search for information, but also be able to assess its value and importance and make selections , thanks to which sports analysis will translate into the effectiveness of the bookmakers.

League table analysis

Sports analysis for many players primarily means checking how the teams participating in the wagered meeting fall out in the standings. The form of the teams is to some extent evidenced by all the matches that both teams have played recently, although it is also worth paying attention to other factors. This type of sports analysis is the most valuable, when most teams have played each other players already have a lot of data to compare. Obviously, at the beginning of the season, the league tables provide too little information. In turn, at the end of it, many teams may be much less motivated to play "100%", since the results of league competition are already largely predetermined.

At this point, it should be noted that the degree of motivation of a team to win is an element that can also be estimated based on the data of the competition table (and after all, if we want to increase the chances of accurate betting, we should know how important a given match is for each of the teams). When we know the consequences of a win, a loss or a draw for both teams, we will also know, how big should be the motivation of each of them to fight . For example, when the hosts play a so-called Last-Chance match (e.g. for promotion to the next stage of the competition), and the guests have nothing to lose (regardless of the outcome of the meeting, they will be eliminated anyway), it is obvious who is most likely to be the most combative.

Sports analysis based on league tables should also be strongly focus on the results of those matches that the hosts played on their own field and those meetings that the guests played away . In this way, you can sometimes notice a relationship indicating how much the results of a given team are affected by the place of the game. As we know, most teams usually perform better in front of their own audience, which is why in football they talk about the effect of the twelfth player. However, the intensity of this phenomenon is different for different teams, it also happens that some paradoxically go better on trips.

Analysis of the history of team meetings

Sports analysis prepared for the selected match of 2 teams should include not only verification of data from the league table, but also checking how the history of meetings between the two teams is presented. Obviously, the most important will be those matches that took place relatively recently – over the past few seasons . It makes no sense to go back in history, because too many variables had to change at that time.

Sports analysis of direct duels from recent years can show certain dependencies, and therefore not only indicate who wins more often or whether teams tend to draw, but also, for example, whether the advantage of one of the teams is clear (which is useful, for example, when we bet on handicaps) or whether a lot of goals are scored in matches or the referee shows a lot of cards (this, in turn, is valuable information when we bet, for example betting under/over).

Analysis of team composition

The next very important element that a proper sports analysis must take into account is to check what the compositions of both teams will be. Personnel shortages can weigh on the fate of the meeting, especially when it comes to key players. Although officially the composition of the team is usually announced no earlier than an hour before the start of the match, but valuable information can be published earlier for example, in the social media of the club (on the profile on Facebook or Twitter) or on sports-related pages. Sports analysis should include an overview of these types of places and, if important (and reliable) news is found about the squads in the match being wagered, use them as soon as possible – before the bookies update the odds for the match.

Of course, some absences and personnel changes are widely known much earlier, for example, when the reason for the absence of a given player is, for example, a serious injury, too many cards on his account or suspension. Such information must be taken into account when determining which bookmakers are worth betting on. However, in this case, we must be aware that the bookmakers also took these changes into account when creating the odds offer for the given meeting, and thus the player will not gain an advantage over the bookmaker with this information.

Analysis of the event schedule

This point is connected with the previous one – the point is to pay attention, what other meetings are waiting for both teams in the coming days . Remember that very often teams (especially the best ones) participate at one time in several different competitions, the weight of which is not the same. If we are betting on a league match, and one of the teams plays a two-man match in the framework of the Champions League elimination, with a high probability we can expect that the meeting will feature a strong reserve squad.

Unfortunately, it is a fairly common mistake to assume that in every match the best players will perform – on the contrary, you need to pay a lot of attention to this in order to predict possible rotations because the so-called second line-up is a completely different team and often a completely different result of the meeting.

Sports analysis – where to find information?

If we want the bookmakers we bet on to be effective, it is not enough that we look at League Tables, Match schedules and sources with historical data. A lot of attention should also be paid to those places where information about current affairs that may affect the outcome of the match is published. They certainly belong to them official websites and social media profiles of clubs and sports-related portals . Their undoubted advantage is that we usually find reliable information here.

Of course, noteworthy should be everything that comes "first-hand" – they are extremely valuable statements to the media by players, coaches and other persons directly associated with the team or their posts on private social media profiles. Important news and observations can also be provided by journalists and commentators sports - sometimes, even in the form of unconfirmed information, they can convey to the recipients a key fact for the outcome of the meeting.

In addition, it is worth mentioning such sites as sports forums and thematic groups in social media dedicated to sports, however, here you need to be very selective. Unfortunately, many entries are worthless, and a large part of them, instead of helping us to place betting bets correctly, can even harm us. We can also check blogs and vlogs of sports fans but, of course, only those in whose knowledge and honesty we have full confidence.

There are plenty of such sources of current news, and their comprehensive, current review is basically impossible for one c$sheep. To make this task easier, you can use content aggregator , that is, a program or application that will collect information on a topic of interest to us from the network. However, the interpretation of the data will still be up to us.

Watching matches as a source of information

And we can not fail to mention a certain method, the purpose of which is not so much to get information before a particular match, but to build extensive and detailed sports knowledge. This is what watching the broadcast of matches (not only those on which we have placed bets) will help us. Each game of the selected team provides us with a lot of information : about the style of play and the effectiveness of individual players and the nuances of the game of the whole team (used formations, tactics, settings, etc.). In this way, we become familiar with what teams and athletes represent and what their potential is, and we can also see certain relationships that affect the results of meetings.

This kind of knowledge, on the one hand, will be useful when we will again bet on the match of this team in some time, but not only. Analytical viewing of many meetings of different teams translates into player competence which, over time, is able to interpret current data obtained from external sources much more effectively. You need to be aware that even highly developed data is at most half the success – useful sports analysis arises only when we are able to correctly interpret this material .

Sports analysis and bookmakers

Detailed sports analysis is of course not a tool used only by players. For a lot of meetings, bookmakers also check various types of sports information and update the course offer under the influence of news . If we only wanted to accurately predict the outcome of the selected event, this state of affairs would not bother us so much.

However, a good player not only wants to bet on correctly selected bookmakers, but also seeks to bet on valuable bets (valuebets), that is, he wants to get an advantage over the bookmaker. When can Sports Analysis give him this advantage? When he receives valuable information earlier - bookmakers may initially miss some important news or not reach them at all. This is especially true when it comes to further leagues or less popular sports . In their case, bookmakers often analyze only the sports statistics themselves or use externally provided odds without their verification, So especially here, sports analysis can bring tangible results to players.

Analysis of exchange rate fluctuations

In this regard, it is worth mentioning that the sports analysis, which deals with factors directly related to the teams and players participating in a typical match, can be supplemented with analysis of the behavior of the odds that bookmakers put on this meeting . What is it? First, you should check what odds the bookmakers have on the event of interest to us. If the courses are satisfactory, we begin to observe their changes. In order for the observation to make sense, it should concern the offers that different bookmakers have, and the player should have an account registered with them in order to be able to react quickly to a favorable situation.

What will interest us is exchange rate declines (decrease in rates for the event), which they may suggest that for some reason the chosen type has a better chance of proving itself than previously thought . This may be due, firstly, to the appearance of previously undisclosed information about something that can have a significant impact on the outcome of the meeting, for example, an injury to the team's leading scorer. Such a leak is called. insider – however, when bookmakers notice that suddenly bookmakers have placed high stakes bets on a given event, they often lower the odds on this selection.

When it comes to observing the behavior of courses, it serves to find the already mentioned valuebets (these are the kind of bookmakers where bookmakers have placed too high odds.) However, it should be noted that decreases may also be due to other reasons . Very often it happens that a certain result is bet en masse, which can result, for example, from the wide dissemination of some unproven, often false information about the match. This has nothing to do with increasing the chances of an event occurring. Despite this, bookmakers often lower his odds in such a situation, while raising the odds on the opposite events. The aim is to encourage betting on selections on which few bets have been placed so far and to balance the bets placed on individual betting options.

If you are interested in the analysis of betting odds, the task will help you online betting odds comparators .